| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
5,341 |
0.986 |
$5,263.71 |
$26.01 |
+0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
2,592 |
0.968 |
$2,507.31 |
$-33.11 |
-1.3% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? |
No |
2,397 |
0.915 |
$2,193.22 |
$152.57 |
+7.5% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
2,342 |
0.888 |
$2,081.04 |
$30.07 |
+1.5% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,845 |
0.989 |
$1,823.78 |
$11.99 |
+0.7% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
1,780 |
0.954 |
$1,698.12 |
$185.12 |
+12.2% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,534 |
0.990 |
$1,517.56 |
$12.05 |
+0.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
1,570 |
0.955 |
$1,499.34 |
$0.75 |
+0.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
1,387 |
0.985 |
$1,365.10 |
$16.98 |
+1.3% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
1,079 |
0.974 |
$1,050.80 |
$1.36 |
+0.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
1,046 |
0.993 |
$1,038.68 |
$15.51 |
+1.5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,012 |
0.976 |
$987.96 |
$-2.84 |
-0.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
845 |
0.964 |
$814.41 |
$9.22 |
+1.1% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
798 |
0.977 |
$778.94 |
$18.46 |
+2.4% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
710 |
0.984 |
$698.28 |
$0.50 |
+0.1% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
658 |
0.886 |
$583.49 |
$53.75 |
+10.1% |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? |
No |
591 |
0.945 |
$558.50 |
$2.96 |
+0.5% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? |
No |
506 |
0.994 |
$502.96 |
$2.53 |
+0.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
520 |
0.940 |
$488.80 |
$-19.76 |
-3.9% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
460 |
0.980 |
$450.57 |
$-1.15 |
-0.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
414 |
0.987 |
$408.41 |
$1.03 |
+0.3% |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? |
No |
431 |
0.942 |
$405.51 |
$34.12 |
+9.2% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
443 |
0.885 |
$392.42 |
$-6.65 |
-1.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? |
No |
388 |
0.991 |
$384.50 |
$9.11 |
+2.4% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
332 |
0.980 |
$325.19 |
$-0.83 |
-0.3% |