| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
123 |
0.825 |
$101.86 |
$-3.48 |
-3.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
121 |
0.675 |
$81.92 |
$-1.30 |
-1.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
84 |
0.755 |
$63.29 |
$6.29 |
+11.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
140 |
0.380 |
$53.21 |
$-14.69 |
-21.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
91 |
0.525 |
$47.58 |
$-9.52 |
-16.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
255 |
0.184 |
$46.97 |
$-23.44 |
-33.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.755 |
$46.22 |
$0.29 |
+0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
394 |
0.115 |
$45.26 |
$-37.43 |
-45.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
94 |
0.455 |
$42.79 |
$-1.83 |
-4.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
42 |
0.948 |
$39.88 |
$2.60 |
+7.0% |
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? |
No |
67 |
0.592 |
$39.80 |
$15.05 |
+60.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
37 |
0.964 |
$35.19 |
$5.59 |
+18.9% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? |
No |
98 |
0.350 |
$34.19 |
$4.94 |
+16.9% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
72 |
0.405 |
$29.09 |
$-16.16 |
-35.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.885 |
$27.47 |
$2.33 |
+9.3% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.910 |
$26.39 |
$1.45 |
+5.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
37 |
0.675 |
$25.03 |
$0.33 |
+1.3% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.535 |
$21.53 |
$2.21 |
+11.5% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
44 |
0.461 |
$20.19 |
$-12.40 |
-38.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.515 |
$18.24 |
$-2.66 |
-12.7% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
22 |
0.785 |
$17.45 |
$7.45 |
+74.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? |
No |
28 |
0.590 |
$16.43 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
Yes |
96 |
0.170 |
$16.35 |
$1.35 |
+9.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
103 |
0.135 |
$13.93 |
$0.52 |
+3.8% |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
22 |
0.595 |
$13.32 |
$-1.23 |
-8.5% |