0xB121F5786E0d26B411A0F8D900103D9B517Db73C-1776794927996
0xb121f5786e0d26b411a0f8d900103d9b517db73c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$299
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
97%
37W / 1L
Trades (30d)
38
across 4 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,052 · all-time $551,108
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
14,000 |
0.945 |
$13,230.00 |
$140.03 |
+1.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.915 |
$2,745.00 |
$75.00 |
+2.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,078 |
0.895 |
$1,859.60 |
$31.17 |
+1.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
1,950 |
0.645 |
$1,257.94 |
$-458.51 |
-26.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.785 |
$785.00 |
$-145.00 |
-15.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.625 |
$687.51 |
$-262.17 |
-27.6% |