PnL (30d)

−$207

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-6.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

62W / 109L

Win Return (30d)

36%

62W / 109L

Trades (30d)

171

across 35 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$5.90

avg win $79 · loss $70

Profit Factor

0.85

$1,192 won / $1,399 lost

Reward / Risk

1.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$170

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.3% 481W/256L	170	$25,807
🌤 Weather	77.8% 21W/6L	9	$903

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?	No	46	0.890	$40.94	$1.38	+3.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	No	24	0.295	$6.99	$-0.59	-7.8%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	14	0.325	$4.62	$-0.28	-5.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40	0.085	$3.40	$-10.50	-75.5%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	82	0.032	$2.57	$-5.13	-66.6%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	44	0.055	$2.42	$-9.90	-80.4%
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	545	0.001	$0.27	$-69.02	-99.6%
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	18	0.002	$0.03	$-1.41	-98.1%