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Trader leaderboard/ArtIronman

ArtIronman

0xb06069838d9442d857593bdebeb454dc0e629572
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
2W / 4L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
12W / 6L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
20
across 12 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.55
avg win $5 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.75
$5 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
1.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,539 · all-time $182,361

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.8% 96W/93L 91 $5,597
₿ Crypto 40.0% 2W/3L 8 $105
🏛 Politics 4 $265
🎬 Culture 1 $160
🔬 Science 1 $160
💵 Economy 1 $50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 108 0.942 $101.68 $0.76 +0.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 115 0.835 $96.02 $-3.87 -3.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 63 0.835 $52.60 $2.20 +4.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 52 0.985 $51.22 $1.09 +2.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 55 0.925 $50.88 $0.82 +1.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 76 0.625 $47.50 $-2.66 -5.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 63 0.750 $47.25 $-3.15 -6.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 60 0.695 $41.69 $-9.31 -18.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? Yes 31 0.535 $16.72 $6.72 +67.2%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 10 0.915 $9.01 $0.05 +0.5%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 131 0.065 $8.53 $-1.97 -18.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7? Yes 179 0.011 $2.06 $-5.64 -73.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? No 132 0.008 $1.06 $-6.64 -86.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? No 50 0.006 $0.30 $-7.70 -96.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? No 183 0.001 $0.18 $-7.58 -97.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? No 91 0.001 $0.05 $-7.71 -99.4%