| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
840 |
0.925 |
$777.01 |
$15.47 |
+2.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,486 |
0.455 |
$676.18 |
$-107.03 |
-13.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,572 |
0.380 |
$597.34 |
$-57.16 |
-8.7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
838 |
0.675 |
$565.94 |
$51.58 |
+10.0% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
433 |
0.935 |
$404.93 |
$35.79 |
+9.7% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
470 |
0.825 |
$388.13 |
$-15.34 |
-3.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
823 |
0.455 |
$374.31 |
$104.39 |
+38.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
466 |
0.775 |
$361.43 |
$-2.33 |
-0.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
294 |
0.961 |
$282.54 |
$0.04 |
+0.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? |
No |
240 |
0.987 |
$236.76 |
$-0.84 |
-0.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
275 |
0.835 |
$229.27 |
$18.70 |
+8.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
217 |
0.900 |
$194.91 |
$71.47 |
+57.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
No |
256 |
0.750 |
$192.15 |
$48.32 |
+33.6% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? |
No |
195 |
0.965 |
$188.15 |
$0.37 |
+0.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.930 |
$167.48 |
$4.26 |
+2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
294 |
0.515 |
$151.23 |
$-22.22 |
-12.8% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.932 |
$139.80 |
$1.90 |
+1.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,197 |
0.117 |
$139.49 |
$-10.14 |
-6.8% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
517 |
0.260 |
$134.37 |
$-92.61 |
-40.8% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
132 |
0.915 |
$121.05 |
$9.92 |
+8.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
858 |
0.135 |
$115.90 |
$25.75 |
+28.6% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,002 |
0.114 |
$114.22 |
$-16.46 |
-12.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.710 |
$85.20 |
$-14.40 |
-14.5% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
Yes |
524 |
0.145 |
$76.03 |
$-3.55 |
-4.5% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
195 |
0.275 |
$53.67 |
$-2.93 |
-5.2% |