| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
355 |
0.285 |
$101.22 |
$-12.47 |
-11.0% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.385 |
$28.88 |
$-1.12 |
-3.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.615 |
$24.56 |
$-1.00 |
-3.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
33 |
0.435 |
$14.54 |
$-1.67 |
-10.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? |
Yes |
20 |
0.605 |
$12.10 |
$-0.90 |
-6.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.605 |
$12.10 |
$-0.50 |
-4.0% |
| Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
70 |
0.150 |
$10.54 |
$-4.05 |
-27.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.445 |
$8.90 |
$-0.90 |
-9.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? |
Yes |
40 |
0.130 |
$5.20 |
$-2.40 |
-31.6% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
No |
40 |
0.105 |
$4.20 |
$-1.80 |
-30.0% |
| Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
50 |
0.041 |
$2.05 |
$-2.95 |
-59.0% |
| Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive? |
Yes |
100 |
0.006 |
$0.60 |
$-22.40 |
-97.4% |