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Trader

0xb032efba6536a628f34dcb1b0c9f9ab53c59c16c
PnL (30d)
+$41
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$18
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
85%
40W / 7L · 94 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
85W / 49L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
141
across 93 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.37
avg win $3 · loss $9
Profit Factor
2.21
$75 won / $34 lost
Reward / Risk
0.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $28,026

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 85.1% 40W/7L 93 $376
🏛 Politics 3 $9
💵 Economy 3 $9

Open positions

165 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? Yes 30 0.982 $29.46 $23.46 +391.0%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? Yes 40 0.670 $26.80 $21.09 +369.0%
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes 30 0.745 $22.35 $20.35 +1017.5%
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 30 0.515 $15.45 $11.70 +312.0%
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 20 0.745 $14.77 $10.80 +272.5%
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 30 0.435 $13.00 $12.12 +1379.0%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 15 0.725 $11.12 $8.05 +262.5%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes 60 0.175 $10.50 $3.00 +40.0%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes 30 0.340 $10.20 $8.70 +580.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes 60 0.155 $9.30 $1.80 +24.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes 60 0.155 $9.30 $1.80 +24.0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 69 0.129 $8.95 $-0.96 -9.7%
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? Yes 18 0.435 $8.02 $5.38 +204.5%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? Yes 17 0.445 $7.53 $5.42 +255.6%
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes 60 0.125 $7.50 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? Yes 15 0.465 $6.91 $5.05 +272.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes 43 0.135 $5.81 $0.43 +8.0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes 16 0.335 $5.39 $3.78 +234.5%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes 11 0.486 $5.38 $3.80 +240.5%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes 20 0.265 $5.30 $2.80 +112.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes 41 0.125 $5.18 $0.00 +0.0%
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? Yes 22 0.220 $4.83 $1.69 +54.0%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes 30 0.155 $4.59 $1.63 +55.0%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? Yes 30 0.148 $4.44 $-10.56 -70.4%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? Yes 53 0.083 $4.36 $-2.21 -33.6%