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Trader leaderboard/honduraslover

honduraslover

0xaff389b0c6e066057c44c25fae7277880b276ecc
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$388
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$35
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
7%
17W / 216L · 508 open
Win Return (30d)
13%
96W / 645L
Trades (30d)
741
across 44 markets · ~17 per market
EV / position
−$38.83
avg win $20 · loss $45
Profit Factor
0.05
$20 won / $408 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$30
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,087 · all-time $7,968,901

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 24.9% 719W/2,170L 437 $58,685
⚽ Sports 39.9% 152W/229L 74 $8,906
₿ Crypto 40.6% 43W/63L 52 $3,122
💵 Economy 38.7% 24W/38L 17 $1,301
🏛 Politics 52.4% 22W/20L 13 $1,448
🎬 Culture 22.2% 2W/7L 6 $431
🔬 Science 1 $15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

98 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 1,024 0.910 $932.12 $591.17 +173.4%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 966 0.954 $920.83 $20.50 +2.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 1,324 0.555 $734.64 $97.13 +15.2%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 776 0.905 $702.39 $96.28 +15.9%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 1,244 0.555 $690.49 $45.16 +7.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 422 0.981 $413.29 $0.21 +0.1%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 358 0.935 $334.84 $19.26 +6.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,142 0.209 $239.18 $29.44 +14.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 288 0.823 $237.10 $42.81 +22.0%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 246 0.950 $233.25 $6.47 +2.9%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? Yes 368 0.475 $175.01 $-62.67 -26.4%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes 8,929 0.019 $174.12 $-12.79 -6.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,480 0.117 $172.40 $-96.02 -35.8%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 334 0.515 $172.18 $-27.70 -13.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 173 0.935 $161.29 $51.36 +46.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 131 0.945 $123.74 $8.72 +7.6%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 134 0.909 $121.96 $80.18 +191.9%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 228 0.485 $110.41 $21.63 +24.4%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes 2,035 0.046 $94.61 $-48.26 -33.8%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 87 0.977 $85.14 $0.52 +0.6%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 2,252 0.037 $84.44 $-130.07 -60.6%
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No 84 0.870 $73.29 $-4.36 -5.6%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 155 0.445 $69.12 $-15.40 -18.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 72 0.883 $63.41 $2.22 +3.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 71 0.855 $60.90 $15.12 +33.0%