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Trader leaderboard/chupaps

chupaps

0xafaa2576b1a904b25f0a435f76f7b158d2dff0e4
PnL (30d)
−$3,204
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$70
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-13.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
809W / 967L · 160 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
837W / 1,097L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
1,936
across 63 markets · ~31 per market
EV / position
−$91.55
avg win $38 · loss $151
Profit Factor
0.12
$417 won / $3,622 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,697 · all-time $1,306,260

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.6% 809W/967L 63 $44,839
🏛 Politics 36.8% 14W/24L 11 $2,262
💵 Economy 36.8% 14W/24L 6 $1,937
🌤 Weather 1 $107
🔬 Science 1 $107
⚽ Sports 1 $44

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No 461 0.845 $389.94 $8.82 +2.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 278 0.991 $275.13 $0.14 +0.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 204 0.835 $170.46 $11.98 +7.6%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 217 0.515 $111.92 $5.43 +5.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 638 0.135 $86.18 $-18.46 -17.6%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes 876 0.055 $48.17 $-10.64 -18.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 700 0.037 $25.89 $-35.06 -57.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 28 0.460 $12.76 $-3.15 -19.8%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,016 0.006 $12.10 $-7.62 -38.6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 527 0.015 $7.90 $-1.05 -11.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.245 $6.21 $-0.89 -12.5%
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes 9 0.204 $1.91 $-2.42 -55.9%