PnL (30d)

−$18

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$44

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

77W / 79L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

91W / 80L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

173

across 54 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.36

avg win $21 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.95

$331 won / $349 lost

Reward / Risk

2.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.4% 77W/79L	54	$867
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$26

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	2,336	0.029	$66.58	$7.52	+12.7%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	Yes	105	0.018	$1.84	$-9.62	-83.9%