PnL (30d)

+$17

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$454

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

15W / 24L · 2,364 open

Win Return (30d)

89%

2,138W / 257L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

2,403

across 92 markets · ~26 per market

EV / position

+$0.91

avg win $13 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.37

$64 won / $47 lost

Reward / Risk

3.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	38.5% 15W/24L	92	$9,062
🏛 Politics	—	13	$651

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12,861	0.037	$482.28	$211.11	+77.9%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	1,481	0.305	$451.81	$189.68	+72.4%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	9,800	0.025	$248.91	$33.05	+15.3%
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	562	0.370	$207.76	$43.20	+26.2%
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	241	0.610	$146.99	$-6.87	-4.5%
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	932	0.155	$144.38	$12.51	+9.5%
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	1,375	0.105	$144.35	$40.90	+39.5%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	7,106	0.019	$135.01	$48.08	+55.3%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	19,956	0.004	$89.80	$5.95	+7.1%
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	253	0.300	$75.92	$1.16	+1.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	451	0.135	$60.94	$41.77	+217.8%
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	56	0.895	$50.20	$5.77	+13.0%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	107	0.395	$42.19	$0.81	+1.9%
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	265	0.141	$37.23	$20.68	+124.9%
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	16,514	0.002	$24.77	$-72.68	-74.6%
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	Yes	193	0.075	$14.48	$-20.58	-58.7%
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	32	0.420	$13.43	$-0.76	-5.3%
Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	150	0.072	$10.80	$-12.18	-53.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	38	0.213	$8.01	$4.01	+100.2%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,100	0.003	$5.25	$-11.15	-68.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	8	0.510	$4.00	$0.31	+8.5%
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	50	0.070	$3.50	$-1.00	-22.2%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1,200	0.003	$3.00	$-6.37	-68.0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	3	0.565	$1.93	$0.49	+34.2%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1,200	0.002	$1.80	$-7.57	-80.8%