guccigopnik
0xaf635a106742f1f51cd242da7b863ba1f1e51375
PnL (30d)
+$90
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
16W / 1L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
94%
17W / 1L
Trades (30d)
18
across 10 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$9.98
avg win $12 · loss $4
Profit Factor
26.26
$93 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
3.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,778 · all-time $516,728
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
1,009 |
0.971 |
$978.85 |
$-21.15 |
-2.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
818 |
0.999 |
$816.62 |
$6.13 |
+0.8% |
| Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
112 |
0.968 |
$108.50 |
$4.21 |
+4.0% |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? |
No |
100 |
0.968 |
$96.81 |
$3.10 |
+3.3% |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
100 |
0.963 |
$96.28 |
$7.11 |
+8.0% |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
250 |
0.175 |
$43.75 |
$-188.75 |
-81.2% |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? |
No |
25 |
0.979 |
$24.46 |
$-0.24 |
-1.0% |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? |
No |
25 |
0.972 |
$24.29 |
$-0.51 |
-2.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
55 |
0.117 |
$6.44 |
$-3.56 |
-35.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.145 |
$0.41 |
$-1.59 |
-79.3% |