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Trader leaderboard/vamnizar

vamnizar

0xaf4635074c8f9966ff44f2497183b53fc0578c1d
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$821
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$49
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+21.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
93W / 60L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
101W / 68L
Trades (30d)
169
across 27 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$35.69
avg win $80 · loss $34
Profit Factor
3.70
$1,125 won / $304 lost
Reward / Risk
2.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$66
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $95 · all-time $11,208,312

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.2% 193W/86L 54 $11,124
🏛 Politics 33.3% 2W/4L 7 $197
🎬 Culture 33.3% 2W/4L 7 $197

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No 2,433 0.905 $2,201.93 $91.78 +4.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,000 0.790 $790.50 $290.50 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.209 $209.50 $-290.50 -58.1%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes 2,432 0.085 $206.75 $-86.98 -29.6%
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? Yes 864 0.155 $133.95 $-61.64 -31.5%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in August 2026? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $0.55 +0.6%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes 300 0.175 $52.50 $-50.17 -48.9%
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? Yes 401 0.105 $42.08 $-24.01 -36.3%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes 119 0.265 $31.58 $-1.46 -4.4%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? Yes 139 0.105 $14.57 $-4.86 -25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in August 2026? No 6 1.000 $5.97 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in August 2026? Yes 35 0.014 $0.50 $0.46 +1299.9%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in August 2026? Yes 35 0.005 $0.18 $0.14 +399.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in August 2026? Yes 65 0.002 $0.10 $-0.03 -25.0%