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Trader leaderboard/StanGrossman

StanGrossman

0xaf353d5c352e0e338cad96345d8fab34dce19a45
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$58
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$26
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+28.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
3W / 3L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
6W / 3L
Trades (30d)
9
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$14.40
avg win $26 · loss $20
Profit Factor
3.87
$78 won / $20 lost
Reward / Risk
1.29
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7 · all-time $467,230

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.4% 21W/31L 24 $1,131
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $152
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $152

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 1,398 0.065 $90.88 $-239.47 -72.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 250 0.278 $69.38 $20.12 +40.9%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 100 0.625 $62.50 $43.50 +228.9%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No 50 0.675 $33.75 $24.75 +275.0%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes 200 0.125 $25.00 $-5.00 -16.7%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes 40 0.565 $22.38 $11.94 +114.4%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,000 0.009 $19.00 $3.00 +18.8%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes 96 0.170 $16.39 $-6.06 -27.0%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 400 0.033 $13.00 $-17.80 -57.8%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? Yes 164 0.038 $6.30 $-13.32 -67.9%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes 100 0.055 $5.50 $-10.50 -65.6%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 70 0.062 $4.36 $-1.29 -22.8%
Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes 896 0.003 $2.24 $0.45 +25.0%