| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
15,029 |
0.615 |
$9,242.82 |
$-2,721.27 |
-22.7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
7,698 |
0.265 |
$2,039.98 |
$-2,959.34 |
-59.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
1,111 |
0.976 |
$1,083.67 |
$217.18 |
+25.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,111 |
0.959 |
$1,064.88 |
$242.75 |
+29.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.985 |
$984.50 |
$11.50 |
+1.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,000 |
0.875 |
$875.00 |
$29.00 |
+3.4% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
2,505 |
0.275 |
$689.01 |
$-63.47 |
-8.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
600 |
0.705 |
$423.00 |
$55.00 |
+14.9% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
199 |
0.785 |
$156.43 |
$78.72 |
+101.3% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.680 |
$136.00 |
$-28.00 |
-17.1% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.932 |
$93.20 |
$2.20 |
+2.4% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.685 |
$68.50 |
$14.50 |
+26.9% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
83 |
0.820 |
$68.33 |
$15.00 |
+28.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
600 |
0.095 |
$57.00 |
$-267.00 |
-82.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.400 |
$40.00 |
$-13.00 |
-24.5% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.105 |
$10.50 |
$-7.50 |
-41.7% |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.642 |
$0.71 |
$-0.24 |
-25.5% |