| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
290 |
0.117 |
$33.81 |
$-8.03 |
-19.2% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
15 |
0.746 |
$11.40 |
$0.46 |
+4.2% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
11 |
0.997 |
$10.82 |
$1.42 |
+15.2% |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? |
No |
14 |
0.705 |
$9.62 |
$1.43 |
+17.5% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.999 |
$8.93 |
$2.10 |
+30.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
46 |
0.184 |
$8.47 |
$-3.14 |
-27.1% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.560 |
$6.40 |
$-1.26 |
-16.4% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? |
Yes |
6 |
0.699 |
$4.35 |
$2.45 |
+129.2% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.315 |
$3.71 |
$-1.66 |
-30.9% |
| Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
3 |
0.831 |
$2.74 |
$0.73 |
+36.2% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
No |
8 |
0.340 |
$2.70 |
$-0.56 |
-17.1% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
3 |
0.970 |
$2.43 |
$0.22 |
+10.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
3 |
0.955 |
$2.42 |
$0.27 |
+12.3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
3 |
0.642 |
$1.70 |
$-0.07 |
-3.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.358 |
$1.64 |
$-0.05 |
-3.0% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
2 |
0.988 |
$1.63 |
$0.38 |
+29.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
3 |
0.540 |
$1.50 |
$-0.22 |
-13.0% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.825 |
$1.39 |
$0.14 |
+11.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
2 |
0.535 |
$1.32 |
$-0.23 |
-15.1% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
20 |
0.045 |
$0.90 |
$-1.30 |
-59.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.135 |
$0.67 |
$0.11 |
+19.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
2 |
0.285 |
$0.55 |
$-0.56 |
-50.0% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.418 |
$0.54 |
$-0.04 |
-6.8% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.038 |
$0.18 |
$-0.67 |
-78.6% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Yes |
5 |
0.015 |
$0.08 |
$-3.41 |
-97.8% |