OutcomeUnclear
0xaee155cfcdbea58f38ae6dea1475a0198f443cea
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$713
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+19.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
37W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
92%
37W / 3L
Trades (30d)
40
across 6 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$118.82
avg win $237 · loss $118
Profit Factor
4.02
$949 won / $236 lost
Reward / Risk
2.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$200
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,202 · all-time $367,831
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.895 |
$894.87 |
$272.66 |
+43.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.875 |
$525.00 |
$9.00 |
+1.7% |