PnL (30d)

+$43

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

16W / 8L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

28W / 10L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

43

across 27 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$2.29

avg win $10 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.58

$118 won / $75 lost

Reward / Risk

0.92

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.7% 16W/8L	27	$1,007
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$45
💵 Economy	—	1	$43

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.545	$8.18	$-3.67	-31.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	157	0.019	$3.07	$-6.94	-69.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	Yes	47	0.024	$1.13	$-8.76	-88.6%