Trader
0xae89da6594bb0d421c8d807d74e213f8729e90b8
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$40
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
393W / 31L
Win Return (30d)
93%
393W / 31L
Trades (30d)
424
across 153 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.26
avg win $1 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.68
$86 won / $127 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$74
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $20,698 · all-time $700,523
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
10,000 |
0.515 |
$5,149.92 |
$1,049.98 |
+25.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.615 |
$4,920.00 |
$40.00 |
+0.8% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
5,531 |
0.885 |
$4,895.33 |
$3,783.59 |
+340.3% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
10,100 |
0.420 |
$4,242.00 |
$-1,616.00 |
-27.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
51,599 |
0.045 |
$2,321.94 |
$-9,559.79 |
-80.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,309 |
0.283 |
$370.37 |
$102.41 |
+38.2% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
745 |
0.362 |
$270.12 |
$227.52 |
+534.1% |