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Trader

0xae78c00dd692e6cb1285b1915dd4a48766df9275
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$23
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
11W / 4L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
13W / 11L
Trades (30d)
24
across 11 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.46
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.31
$1 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $434 · all-time $6,589

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.0% 19W/6L 21 $1,219
🏛 Politics 3 $93

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 80 0.845 $67.99 $-0.01 -0.0%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? No 73 0.825 $60.10 $0.10 +0.2%
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? No 75 0.670 $50.51 $-1.49 -2.9%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? No 61 0.680 $41.65 $0.35 +0.8%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No 122 0.260 $31.77 $-17.94 -36.1%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 37 0.815 $29.81 $-0.19 -0.6%
Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31? No 42 0.580 $24.12 $-11.88 -33.0%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No 37 0.585 $21.67 $1.67 +8.3%
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? No 21 0.900 $19.06 $1.91 +11.1%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 28 0.650 $17.98 $-4.02 -18.3%
Will Russia enter Stinky by September 30? No 31 0.290 $9.11 $-10.89 -54.5%
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? No 7 0.820 $5.46 $0.47 +9.3%