HopeDisLasts
0xae7072317fa5fb63141dc2aec2f78a8b25bdabfb
PnL (30d)
−$10
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-25.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
23W / 18L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
24W / 19L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
45
across 24 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.45
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.36
$5 won / $15 lost
Reward / Risk
0.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $329,802
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
12,000 |
0.065 |
$780.00 |
$-1,901.19 |
-70.9% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? |
Yes |
1,321 |
0.055 |
$72.63 |
$-149.54 |
-67.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.545 |
$11.13 |
$1.53 |
+16.0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? |
Yes |
89 |
0.085 |
$7.58 |
$-12.92 |
-63.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.155 |
$3.71 |
$-0.72 |
-16.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.003 |
$0.05 |
$-0.27 |
-85.0% |