| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
31 |
0.978 |
$30.37 |
$0.03 |
+0.1% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.930 |
$29.75 |
$-0.29 |
-1.0% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
32 |
0.904 |
$28.85 |
$0.19 |
+0.7% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
25 |
0.925 |
$22.74 |
$0.01 |
+0.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
26 |
0.865 |
$22.50 |
$-0.26 |
-1.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.822 |
$21.35 |
$0.08 |
+0.4% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.930 |
$20.34 |
$-0.29 |
-1.4% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.955 |
$19.30 |
$0.12 |
+0.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
17 |
0.967 |
$16.72 |
$0.18 |
+1.1% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
17 |
0.865 |
$14.31 |
$-0.25 |
-1.7% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.915 |
$12.10 |
$-0.10 |
-0.8% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? |
No |
11 |
0.944 |
$10.25 |
$-0.25 |
-2.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
15 |
0.650 |
$9.44 |
$1.03 |
+12.2% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.945 |
$8.65 |
$-0.05 |
-0.5% |
| Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? |
No |
8 |
0.958 |
$7.99 |
$0.07 |
+0.8% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
8 |
0.956 |
$7.76 |
$-0.14 |
-1.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.935 |
$7.29 |
$-0.02 |
-0.3% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.875 |
$6.82 |
$-0.10 |
-1.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.970 |
$6.59 |
$0.02 |
+0.3% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.915 |
$6.57 |
$0.09 |
+1.4% |
| Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? |
Yes |
6 |
0.969 |
$6.20 |
$0.01 |
+0.2% |
| Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? |
Yes |
6 |
0.991 |
$6.00 |
$-0.03 |
-0.5% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
8 |
0.745 |
$5.91 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.950 |
$5.37 |
$-0.01 |
-0.3% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.947 |
$5.10 |
$-0.05 |
-1.0% |