Kactus
0xadf18a599d0c73e432d042ad6d922051ae796460
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$104
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$36
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
50W / 6L · 30 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
78W / 6L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
86
across 21 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$6.92
avg win $10 · loss $2
Profit Factor
16.37
$110 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
5.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,016 · all-time $46,323
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8? |
Yes |
185 |
0.615 |
$113.74 |
$4.96 |
+4.6% |
| Will "Think" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? |
Yes |
62 |
0.972 |
$59.84 |
$4.33 |
+7.8% |
| Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? |
Yes |
50 |
0.966 |
$48.30 |
$4.30 |
+9.8% |