PnL (30d)

−$9

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-19.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

1W / 4L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

18%

2W / 9L

Trades (30d)

11

across 11 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$1.86

avg win $17 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.65

$17 won / $26 lost

Reward / Risk

2.59

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$16

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.0% 1W/4L	11	$80
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	329	0.024	$7.72	$2.65	+52.1%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	1,183	0.004	$4.14	$-6.04	-59.3%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	714	0.005	$3.93	$-1.07	-21.4%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	647	0.005	$3.56	$-2.44	-40.7%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	727	0.004	$3.27	$-6.38	-66.1%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	584	0.004	$2.63	$-6.89	-72.4%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	333	0.004	$1.17	$0.17	+16.7%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	333	0.003	$0.83	$-0.17	-16.6%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	333	0.002	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	299	0.002	$0.45	$-0.55	-55.2%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	54	0.006	$0.35	$-1.50	-80.9%
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	177	0.002	$0.26	$-0.73	-73.5%
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	143	0.002	$0.21	$-0.79	-78.6%
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	115	0.002	$0.17	$-1.33	-88.5%
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	50	0.002	$0.07	$-0.93	-92.5%