| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Yes |
49 |
0.260 |
$12.74 |
$-12.25 |
-49.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
74 |
0.055 |
$4.10 |
$-19.90 |
-82.9% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.545 |
$3.63 |
$2.63 |
+263.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
32 |
0.110 |
$3.55 |
$-6.45 |
-64.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.225 |
$3.21 |
$-0.79 |
-19.6% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.470 |
$2.39 |
$1.39 |
+138.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.150 |
$1.94 |
$-1.26 |
-39.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
47 |
0.033 |
$1.54 |
$-3.46 |
-69.2% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
Yes |
87 |
0.018 |
$1.53 |
$-3.47 |
-69.4% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.086 |
$0.71 |
$-0.29 |
-29.3% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Yes |
12 |
0.055 |
$0.65 |
$-1.35 |
-67.6% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.080 |
$0.62 |
$-0.38 |
-38.5% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
Yes |
29 |
0.017 |
$0.47 |
$-0.53 |
-52.9% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.011 |
$0.07 |
$-0.93 |
-93.0% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.009 |
$0.06 |
$-0.94 |
-94.0% |