| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
34,001 |
0.165 |
$5,610.10 |
$2,998.21 |
+114.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.457 |
$1,371.00 |
$1,063.88 |
+346.4% |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? |
Yes |
2,035 |
0.605 |
$1,231.36 |
$718.17 |
+139.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
25,000 |
0.032 |
$787.50 |
$139.95 |
+21.6% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
2,420 |
0.235 |
$568.62 |
$114.18 |
+25.1% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,212 |
0.215 |
$475.53 |
$77.27 |
+19.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.042 |
$414.99 |
$-20.98 |
-4.8% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? |
No |
450 |
0.885 |
$398.07 |
$-2.02 |
-0.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
6,298 |
0.055 |
$346.39 |
$-268.51 |
-43.7% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? |
No |
401 |
0.705 |
$282.69 |
$104.60 |
+58.7% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
No |
349 |
0.675 |
$235.49 |
$49.19 |
+26.4% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
Yes |
921 |
0.250 |
$230.33 |
$-267.17 |
-53.7% |
| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,900 |
0.072 |
$210.25 |
$46.16 |
+28.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
700 |
0.265 |
$185.62 |
$5.07 |
+2.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
8,617 |
0.018 |
$159.42 |
$-258.00 |
-61.8% |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? |
Yes |
474 |
0.245 |
$116.17 |
$109.07 |
+1536.1% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
1,525 |
0.075 |
$114.41 |
$-56.23 |
-33.0% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
439 |
0.260 |
$114.18 |
$76.21 |
+200.7% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
292 |
0.390 |
$113.87 |
$-14.39 |
-11.2% |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? |
No |
183 |
0.575 |
$105.44 |
$-3.92 |
-3.6% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.052 |
$104.00 |
$6.15 |
+6.3% |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people? |
Yes |
591 |
0.155 |
$91.61 |
$-22.20 |
-19.5% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.354 |
$84.85 |
$11.22 |
+15.2% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.055 |
$55.00 |
$-65.00 |
-54.2% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? |
Yes |
1,537 |
0.034 |
$51.50 |
$-125.17 |
-70.9% |