PnL (30d)

+$287

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+10.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

66W / 363L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

15%

66W / 372L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

440

across 54 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$5.63

avg win $72 · loss $13

Profit Factor

1.57

$792 won / $505 lost

Reward / Risk

5.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$226

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	19.4% 576W/2,394L	313	$32,023
🌤 Weather	11.0% 27W/219L	28	$601

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	136	1.000	$135.93	$104.79	+336.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	103	0.405	$41.72	$5.36	+14.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	108	0.275	$29.70	$-9.18	-23.6%
Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August?	Yes	7	0.220	$1.49	$-0.41	-21.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	424	0.001	$0.21	$-4.41	-95.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	412	0.001	$0.21	$-13.10	-98.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	401	0.001	$0.20	$-4.82	-96.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	187	0.001	$0.09	$-59.37	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	144	0.001	$0.07	$-49.74	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	104	0.001	$0.05	$-5.15	-99.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	83	0.001	$0.04	$-15.68	-99.7%