PnL (30d)

−$23

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

73%

884W / 329L · 78 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

907W / 346L · 38 open

Trades (30d)

1,291

across 310 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.08

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.88

$172 won / $196 lost

Reward / Risk

0.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.9% 884W/329L	310	$5,262
🌤 Weather	75.2% 100W/33L	12	$447

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?	Yes	30	1.000	$29.98	$13.88	+86.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5?	No	30	1.000	$29.98	$4.48	+17.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5?	No	29	0.997	$28.60	$1.81	+6.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	27	0.980	$26.33	$13.76	+109.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	No	30	0.020	$0.60	$-16.83	-96.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.003	$0.07	$-1.73	-95.9%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?	No	31	0.001	$0.02	$-15.24	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.001	$0.01	$-3.89	-99.7%