| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
7,778 |
0.675 |
$5,250.11 |
$520.40 |
+11.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? |
Yes |
1,791 |
0.830 |
$1,486.27 |
$113.69 |
+8.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,767 |
0.760 |
$1,342.85 |
$587.54 |
+77.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.835 |
$668.00 |
$68.00 |
+11.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
600 |
0.835 |
$501.00 |
$-21.00 |
-4.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,661 |
0.086 |
$484.00 |
$233.72 |
+93.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,800 |
0.261 |
$468.90 |
$441.29 |
+1598.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
509 |
0.835 |
$424.89 |
$18.98 |
+4.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.505 |
$404.00 |
$43.00 |
+11.9% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
3,696 |
0.090 |
$334.49 |
$308.90 |
+1207.2% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
425 |
0.746 |
$317.04 |
$31.02 |
+10.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
333 |
0.949 |
$316.02 |
$9.66 |
+3.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
No |
528 |
0.485 |
$256.29 |
$19.36 |
+8.2% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
685 |
0.330 |
$226.15 |
$-41.01 |
-15.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
No |
307 |
0.655 |
$201.28 |
$-42.37 |
-17.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
236 |
0.850 |
$200.76 |
$199.17 |
+12539.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
450 |
0.445 |
$200.25 |
$-6.75 |
-3.3% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
200 |
0.985 |
$196.90 |
$0.30 |
+0.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.620 |
$124.00 |
$-28.00 |
-18.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.610 |
$122.00 |
$-30.00 |
-19.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.935 |
$93.50 |
$9.50 |
+11.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
200 |
0.455 |
$91.00 |
$49.93 |
+121.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,763 |
0.050 |
$87.27 |
$73.97 |
+556.1% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
3,190 |
0.025 |
$81.03 |
$58.66 |
+262.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
425 |
0.184 |
$78.41 |
$-103.68 |
-56.9% |