PnL (30d)

+$5

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

8W / 2L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

8W / 6L

Trades (30d)

14

across 6 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$1.21

avg win $3 · loss $1

Profit Factor

5.77

$6 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

5.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.0% 8W/2L	6	$54
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	72	0.865	$62.36	$2.61	+4.4%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	28	0.940	$26.56	$7.04	+36.0%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	33	0.356	$11.77	$-0.78	-6.2%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	8	0.988	$7.50	$0.74	+11.0%
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1	0.900	$1.05	$0.05	+4.7%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	23	0.037	$0.85	$-0.15	-14.8%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	3	0.215	$0.63	$-1.19	-65.3%