PnL (30d)

−$27,067

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$335

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-82.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

24W / 136L · 169 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

187W / 142L

Trades (30d)

329

across 40 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$933.36

avg win $488 · loss $1,230

Profit Factor

0.08

$2,441 won / $29,509 lost

Reward / Risk

0.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,210

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	15.0% 24W/136L	40	$54,080
₿ Crypto	—	2	$654
💵 Economy	—	2	$654
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$59
🎬 Culture	—	1	$225

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	13,886	0.685	$9,511.83	$-285.69	-2.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	11,529	0.600	$6,917.14	$2,199.60	+46.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	11,688	0.505	$5,902.69	$2,422.22	+69.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	101,252	0.044	$4,505.73	$1,221.81	+37.2%
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	13,732	0.325	$4,462.74	$1,025.39	+29.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11,521	0.365	$4,205.30	$-1,094.53	-20.7%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	7,920	0.480	$3,801.70	$1,531.63	+67.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	4,776	0.735	$3,510.69	$-53.58	-1.5%
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	5,257	0.595	$3,128.18	$400.10	+14.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	4,472	0.670	$2,995.92	$443.98	+17.4%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	3,916	0.765	$2,995.50	$763.56	+34.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	68,981	0.040	$2,759.26	$-3,697.96	-57.3%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	3,154	0.485	$1,529.70	$366.19	+31.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	3,732	0.405	$1,511.65	$857.36	+131.0%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	6,282	0.205	$1,287.76	$-489.22	-27.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	1,074	0.855	$918.33	$306.11	+50.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	2,894	0.304	$881.31	$408.91	+86.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	6,488	0.135	$875.84	$-627.11	-41.7%
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	2,030	0.415	$842.51	$-422.05	-33.4%
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	1,000	0.620	$620.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	7,405	0.080	$592.40	$-2,320.25	-79.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	Yes	14,177	0.024	$340.24	$100.67	+42.0%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	338	0.945	$319.62	$231.68	+263.5%
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	778	0.405	$314.96	$-165.25	-34.4%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	2,629	0.110	$289.14	$-1,055.43	-78.5%