Polocap
0xac42c7605f3133861af8edd858d8d223c9bf60d1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
23W / 2L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
23W / 15L
Trades (30d)
38
across 3 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$1.58
avg win $5 · loss $2
Profit Factor
2.57
$5 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
2.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $24,290 · all-time $670,267
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
215 |
0.590 |
$126.85 |
$4.30 |
+3.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
201 |
0.475 |
$95.35 |
$-13.90 |
-12.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
100 |
0.930 |
$93.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
800 |
0.115 |
$92.00 |
$20.00 |
+27.8% |
| Discord IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.288 |
$14.43 |
$-12.32 |
-46.1% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August? |
Yes |
121 |
0.056 |
$6.75 |
$3.14 |
+86.7% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? |
Yes |
16 |
0.395 |
$6.30 |
$5.35 |
+558.3% |