0xAc24262B234297403BBC09Fc559cDf8F03ff576e-1771945262644
0xac24262b234297403bbc09fc559cdf8f03ff576e
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$48
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+9.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
91W / 35L
Win Return (30d)
72%
91W / 35L
Trades (30d)
126
across 26 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$1.83
avg win $12 · loss $17
Profit Factor
1.32
$197 won / $150 lost
Reward / Risk
0.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$73
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,270 · all-time $326,457
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
55.6%
430W/344L
|
210 |
$7,749 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
11.1%
2W/16L
|
10 |
$191 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
74.1%
40W/14L
|
8 |
$408 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5? |
No |
138 |
0.540 |
$74.27 |
$5.86 |
+8.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5? |
Yes |
60 |
0.375 |
$22.52 |
$0.98 |
+4.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 5? |
Yes |
368 |
0.038 |
$13.97 |
$7.73 |
+124.1% |