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Trader leaderboard/spodkaposk

spodkaposk

0xabfb5d6a41b8e621f1796b49dc7f6a5fc24c12e5
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
332W / 168L · 608 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
727W / 378L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
1,108
across 93 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$0.11
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.83
$19 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
1.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,778 · all-time $2,192,193

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.4% 2,160W/1,358L 430 $6,880
🏛 Politics 42.4% 36W/49L 38 $520
💵 Economy 8.8% 3W/31L 17 $111
🎬 Culture 57.1% 36W/27L 12 $164
₿ Crypto 8 $17
🤖 Tech 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 3 0.980 $2.51 $2.30 +1095.1%
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 25 0.092 $2.28 $-0.22 -8.9%
Will Karen Castrejón Trujillo win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes 5 0.234 $1.17 $1.02 +678.3%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? Yes 5 0.235 $1.08 $0.07 +6.8%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31? Yes 20 0.052 $1.04 $-0.02 -1.9%
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 4 0.258 $1.01 $0.95 +1742.6%
Will Clarissa Tércio be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? Yes 8 0.105 $0.82 $0.66 +424.9%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 4 0.157 $0.70 $0.40 +138.1%
APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 14 0.049 $0.68 $-1.70 -71.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 5 0.125 $0.59 $-0.93 -60.9%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes 24 0.022 $0.53 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes 4 0.128 $0.51 $0.41 +411.9%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 3 0.121 $0.36 $-0.35 -49.4%
Will United Russia win the next Astrakhan Oblast Parliament elections? No 6 0.055 $0.34 $0.27 +358.3%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 19 0.018 $0.34 $0.11 +50.0%
Will MP get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? Yes 6 0.054 $0.33 $0.21 +172.5%
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? No 4 0.079 $0.31 $-0.20 -39.1%
Will LDPR win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 9 0.035 $0.31 $0.14 +76.9%
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes 4 0.075 $0.31 $-0.23 -42.3%
Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? No 40 0.006 $0.26 $-0.98 -79.0%
Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28? Yes 3 0.067 $0.23 $0.09 +67.4%
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes 1 0.170 $0.19 $0.03 +21.4%
Will A Just Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 7 0.025 $0.18 $0.04 +26.9%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes 4 0.043 $0.17 $-0.07 -28.8%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 3 0.055 $0.17 $-0.28 -63.3%