| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
24,351 |
0.325 |
$7,914.21 |
$-659.31 |
-7.7% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
11,469 |
0.396 |
$4,541.74 |
$1,392.40 |
+44.2% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
20,585 |
0.210 |
$4,322.88 |
$-6,544.82 |
-60.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
10,309 |
0.335 |
$3,453.41 |
$-728.41 |
-17.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? |
No |
3,513 |
0.865 |
$3,039.04 |
$866.01 |
+39.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
4,046 |
0.715 |
$2,892.78 |
$414.00 |
+16.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
13,282 |
0.170 |
$2,257.90 |
$-1,921.17 |
-46.0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
110,071 |
0.015 |
$1,596.03 |
$-420.25 |
-20.8% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? |
No |
1,715 |
0.894 |
$1,533.64 |
$312.73 |
+25.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
2,073 |
0.643 |
$1,333.73 |
$-490.17 |
-26.9% |
| Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31? |
No |
925 |
0.984 |
$909.85 |
$104.85 |
+13.0% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
1,150 |
0.785 |
$903.12 |
$562.89 |
+165.4% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
3,120 |
0.285 |
$888.81 |
$-328.00 |
-27.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? |
No |
954 |
0.785 |
$749.09 |
$272.07 |
+57.0% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? |
Yes |
701 |
0.755 |
$529.45 |
$54.99 |
+11.6% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? |
No |
792 |
0.620 |
$490.84 |
$0.06 |
+0.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? |
No |
555 |
0.829 |
$459.82 |
$43.01 |
+10.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.405 |
$449.94 |
$72.21 |
+19.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
526 |
0.790 |
$415.75 |
$83.21 |
+25.0% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
1,805 |
0.213 |
$384.51 |
$-476.87 |
-55.4% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
10,101 |
0.035 |
$348.47 |
$-191.41 |
-35.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
283 |
0.545 |
$153.99 |
$63.57 |
+70.3% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
215 |
0.685 |
$146.96 |
$28.36 |
+23.9% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
134 |
0.940 |
$125.75 |
$23.83 |
+23.4% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,328 |
0.049 |
$114.09 |
$22.01 |
+23.9% |