Lucifer1707
0xaa96e15ed40ede1799a8e2501c8003be3da89592
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$26
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
5W / 4L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
13W / 8L
Trades (30d)
21
across 8 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.35
avg win $3 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.56
$5 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $27 · all-time $296,684
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? |
No |
475 |
0.910 |
$432.63 |
$15.70 |
+3.8% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.910 |
$98.28 |
$6.48 |
+7.1% |
| Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
54 |
0.855 |
$46.14 |
$1.89 |
+4.3% |
| Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
50 |
0.585 |
$29.25 |
$0.25 |
+0.9% |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? |
Yes |
45 |
0.225 |
$10.12 |
$0.68 |
+7.1% |
| Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
20 |
0.490 |
$9.80 |
$7.20 |
+276.9% |
| Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
Yes |
161 |
0.058 |
$9.27 |
$3.53 |
+61.5% |
| Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
9 |
0.885 |
$7.94 |
$-0.12 |
-1.5% |
| Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
18 |
0.420 |
$7.56 |
$-0.36 |
-4.5% |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? |
Yes |
8 |
0.195 |
$1.53 |
$0.82 |
+116.7% |