PnL (30d)

−$31

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$40

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

4W / 16L · 34 open

Win Return (30d)

22%

12W / 42L

Trades (30d)

54

across 25 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$3.82

avg win $8 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.33

$15 won / $46 lost

Reward / Risk

0.99

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.0% 4W/16L	25	$1,670
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/3L	3	$727
💵 Economy	—	2	$44

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	615	0.835	$513.52	$94.73	+22.6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	100	0.755	$75.50	$20.50	+37.3%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	100	0.485	$48.50	$-19.50	-28.7%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	100	0.395	$39.50	$-6.50	-14.1%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	270	0.115	$31.05	$-39.15	-55.8%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	60	0.405	$24.30	$-9.90	-28.9%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	49	0.415	$20.33	$8.57	+72.9%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	90	0.200	$18.00	$-16.20	-47.4%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	49	0.295	$14.46	$-12.01	-45.4%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	30	0.455	$13.65	$10.95	+405.6%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	30	0.450	$13.50	$-10.80	-44.4%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	90	0.140	$12.60	$-14.40	-53.3%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	150	0.046	$6.90	$-3.30	-32.4%
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	49	0.105	$5.14	$-22.79	-81.6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	54	0.095	$5.13	$-8.37	-62.0%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	49	0.065	$3.19	$-12.98	-80.3%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	30	0.081	$2.43	$1.17	+92.9%