| Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
284 |
0.935 |
$265.62 |
$15.63 |
+6.2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
6,654 |
0.025 |
$169.01 |
$-24.18 |
-12.5% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
52,734 |
0.003 |
$131.83 |
$-123.03 |
-48.3% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,084 |
0.095 |
$103.02 |
$-46.64 |
-31.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.675 |
$67.48 |
$10.06 |
+17.5% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
7,480 |
0.009 |
$63.58 |
$3.74 |
+6.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
73 |
0.835 |
$61.11 |
$5.47 |
+9.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
75 |
0.675 |
$50.41 |
$8.41 |
+20.0% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
18,138 |
0.003 |
$45.35 |
$-91.16 |
-66.8% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
766 |
0.050 |
$37.93 |
$1.72 |
+4.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
107 |
0.250 |
$26.72 |
$1.72 |
+6.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
29 |
0.885 |
$25.65 |
$5.65 |
+28.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
45 |
0.560 |
$25.14 |
$-2.24 |
-8.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
67 |
0.356 |
$23.86 |
$-2.19 |
-8.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.945 |
$18.89 |
$1.90 |
+11.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
269 |
0.065 |
$17.47 |
$-6.72 |
-27.8% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.895 |
$15.61 |
$0.61 |
+4.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.261 |
$15.59 |
$-4.41 |
-22.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.940 |
$12.13 |
$3.13 |
+34.8% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? |
Yes |
398 |
0.029 |
$11.35 |
$0.03 |
+0.3% |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 |
Yes |
38 |
0.285 |
$10.96 |
$5.96 |
+119.2% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
Yes |
33 |
0.320 |
$10.62 |
$5.62 |
+112.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.550 |
$10.56 |
$-1.09 |
-9.3% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
52 |
0.175 |
$9.16 |
$-5.84 |
-38.9% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.977 |
$8.51 |
$0.51 |
+6.3% |