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Trader leaderboard/novv25

novv25

0xa9fe4929d4ea1525ca03bd0ff68ea1fbf9e7f135
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$15,243
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$639
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+22.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
52W / 0L · 96 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
69W / 79L
Trades (30d)
148
across 6 markets · ~25 per market
EV / position
+$15,243.02
avg win $15,243
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $86,672 · all-time $5,990,238

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 82.8% 53W/11L 18 $99,410
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 6 $10,781
🏛 Politics 100.0% 6W/0L 6 $22,121
🔬 Science 1 $354

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 180,433 0.165 $29,771.39 $-15,493.03 -34.2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes 259,816 0.085 $22,084.34 $-12,700.83 -36.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 72,640 0.080 $5,811.17 $-11,093.24 -65.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 6,011 0.835 $5,019.25 $19.25 +0.4%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes 12,401 0.280 $3,472.26 $384.80 +12.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 3,525 0.695 $2,449.58 $-51.42 -2.1%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes 11,268 0.160 $1,802.83 $-1,792.70 -49.9%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 2,872 0.515 $1,479.15 $473.91 +47.1%
New pandemic in 2026? Yes 4,691 0.065 $304.94 $-48.88 -13.8%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Yes 4,105 0.070 $288.98 $10.81 +3.9%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes 1,000 0.049 $48.50 $-71.50 -59.6%
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes 119 0.070 $8.24 $-1.76 -17.6%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes 57 0.055 $3.12 $-11.05 -78.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 2 0.535 $1.22 $0.22 +21.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 2 0.385 $0.88 $-0.12 -12.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 2 0.415 $0.73 $-0.27 -27.2%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 2 0.480 $0.73 $-0.27 -27.3%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 3 0.255 $0.67 $-0.33 -32.9%