| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
1,093 |
0.830 |
$907.01 |
$72.67 |
+8.7% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
568 |
0.875 |
$497.16 |
$-2.84 |
-0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
2,817 |
0.165 |
$464.86 |
$-35.13 |
-7.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
438 |
0.655 |
$287.20 |
$24.74 |
+9.4% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
270 |
0.735 |
$198.18 |
$25.62 |
+14.8% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
255 |
0.715 |
$182.43 |
$-22.66 |
-11.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
238 |
0.715 |
$170.24 |
$20.24 |
+13.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
484 |
0.305 |
$147.58 |
$-2.42 |
-1.6% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
177 |
0.785 |
$138.81 |
$36.25 |
+35.3% |
| Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.885 |
$57.46 |
$7.47 |
+14.9% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
Yes |
86 |
0.355 |
$30.60 |
$5.60 |
+22.4% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.275 |
$29.74 |
$2.94 |
+11.0% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.830 |
$28.03 |
$3.04 |
+12.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.095 |
$22.84 |
$-15.62 |
-40.6% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
192 |
0.105 |
$20.19 |
$-4.81 |
-19.2% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? |
No |
45 |
0.400 |
$18.18 |
$3.18 |
+21.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
15 |
0.665 |
$10.22 |
$0.23 |
+2.3% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
53 |
0.055 |
$2.89 |
$-7.11 |
-71.1% |
| Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next? |
Yes |
100 |
0.022 |
$2.25 |
$-7.75 |
-77.5% |