| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
5,499 |
0.660 |
$3,629.31 |
$-178.86 |
-4.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
7,115 |
0.375 |
$2,668.12 |
$168.13 |
+6.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
3,500 |
0.455 |
$1,592.45 |
$47.51 |
+3.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
2,086 |
0.725 |
$1,512.06 |
$75.28 |
+5.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
18,395 |
0.033 |
$597.85 |
$2.96 |
+0.5% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
600 |
0.946 |
$567.60 |
$51.60 |
+10.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.019 |
$195.00 |
$-154.96 |
-44.3% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
4,788 |
0.034 |
$162.81 |
$-995.17 |
-85.9% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? |
Yes |
300 |
0.495 |
$148.49 |
$1.50 |
+1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,300 |
0.040 |
$90.85 |
$-122.15 |
-57.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
82 |
0.695 |
$56.95 |
$29.09 |
+104.4% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,050 |
0.011 |
$35.07 |
$-344.92 |
-90.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
207 |
0.117 |
$24.11 |
$-0.72 |
-2.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
4,461 |
0.003 |
$13.38 |
$1.65 |
+14.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
6,713 |
0.002 |
$10.07 |
$-241.92 |
-96.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.305 |
$9.60 |
$-5.19 |
-35.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
3,396 |
0.002 |
$5.09 |
$-94.90 |
-94.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.001 |
$2.50 |
$-97.50 |
-97.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.635 |
$2.23 |
$-0.26 |
-10.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
114 |
0.004 |
$0.51 |
$-0.17 |
-25.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.125 |
$0.48 |
$0.17 |
+56.1% |