20sur20
0xa8fe4df8eb44179105b05b712b9fa7bcd81f4474
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$45
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 2L · 292 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
168W / 126L
Trades (30d)
294
across 7 markets · ~42 per market
EV / position
−$45.20
· loss $45
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $45 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,881 · all-time $1,355,973
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
4,500 |
0.723 |
$3,251.25 |
$1,001.25 |
+44.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,506 |
0.278 |
$1,250.41 |
$-1,002.59 |
-44.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,140 |
0.460 |
$983.26 |
$1.08 |
+0.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
2,101 |
0.298 |
$627.02 |
$-7.05 |
-1.1% |
| Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? |
Yes |
50 |
0.475 |
$23.75 |
$0.25 |
+1.1% |
| Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election? |
Yes |
38 |
0.505 |
$19.23 |
$0.57 |
+3.1% |
| Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028? |
Yes |
11 |
0.285 |
$3.01 |
$-0.37 |
-11.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
51 |
0.031 |
$1.58 |
$-1.99 |
-55.7% |