| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
14,919 |
0.845 |
$12,606.37 |
$-391.90 |
-3.0% |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
5,468 |
0.963 |
$5,262.97 |
$1,114.09 |
+26.9% |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
2,462 |
0.950 |
$2,338.75 |
$553.56 |
+31.0% |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? |
No |
1,752 |
0.968 |
$1,695.94 |
$140.91 |
+9.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,560 |
0.184 |
$1,579.39 |
$-135.20 |
-7.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
3,080 |
0.480 |
$1,478.39 |
$-503.65 |
-25.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
599 |
0.968 |
$579.83 |
$9.58 |
+1.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,549 |
0.085 |
$556.66 |
$-2,891.98 |
-83.9% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
555 |
0.925 |
$513.37 |
$280.27 |
+120.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,120 |
0.105 |
$222.65 |
$-104.35 |
-31.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,060 |
0.045 |
$182.71 |
$-1,983.78 |
-91.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
769 |
0.155 |
$119.23 |
$-380.77 |
-76.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
508 |
0.175 |
$88.98 |
$-211.02 |
-70.3% |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
1,046 |
0.013 |
$14.12 |
$-18.09 |
-56.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
357 |
0.019 |
$6.96 |
$-13.04 |
-65.2% |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
133 |
0.015 |
$2.06 |
$-2.94 |
-58.8% |