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Trader leaderboard/0xa8cc798B4478f2DF50aEcD51fB0F5DC8dE63015B-1771310814355

0xa8cc798B4478f2DF50aEcD51fB0F5DC8dE63015B-1771310814355

0xa8cc798b4478f2df50aecd51fb0f5dc8de63015b
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
91%
53W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
91%
53W / 5L
Trades (30d)
58
across 13 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.02
avg win $4 · loss $15
Profit Factor
0.99
$44 won / $44 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$36
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,682 · all-time $506,594

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.8% 134W/50L 91 $23,319
🏛 Politics 77.8% 7W/2L 13 $6,528
⚽ Sports 12 $1,121
🌤 Weather 88.9% 40W/5L 9 $412
💵 Economy 84.6% 11W/2L 6 $2,299
₿ Crypto 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $2,867
🤖 Tech 2 $75
🔬 Science 1 $4
🎬 Culture 1 $71

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 630 0.840 $529.21 $-8.40 -1.6%
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No 420 0.888 $373.17 $0.35 +0.1%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Over 492 0.480 $236.21 $9.84 +4.3%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No 219 0.645 $141.25 $-10.61 -7.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? Yes 540 0.195 $105.30 $-93.74 -47.1%
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No 100 0.932 $93.21 $-1.08 -1.2%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 100 0.895 $89.50 $0.50 +0.6%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 100 0.875 $87.50 $-0.50 -0.6%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? No 100 0.875 $87.45 $-5.55 -6.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes 236 0.355 $83.92 $-26.85 -24.2%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 110 0.745 $81.94 $-1.65 -2.0%
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? No 98 0.780 $76.44 $-9.80 -11.4%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 542 0.135 $73.16 $-106.02 -59.2%
Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? No 77 0.925 $71.12 $-0.32 -0.5%
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No 75 0.941 $70.44 $0.11 +0.2%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? No 100 0.640 $64.00 $-1.00 -1.5%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 68 0.901 $61.30 $1.80 +3.0%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 110 0.545 $59.95 $0.55 +0.9%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 86 0.680 $58.48 $4.54 +8.4%
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? No 68 0.795 $54.06 $-2.38 -4.2%
Will Arizona Cardinals finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? No 60 0.870 $52.20 $-0.60 -1.1%
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes 93 0.510 $47.32 $7.49 +18.8%
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes 400 0.111 $44.20 $-4.00 -8.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? Yes 110 0.365 $40.15 $-33.55 -45.5%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No 1,000 0.038 $38.00 $-1.00 -2.6%