Trader
0xa8a0f8fb7a3ca4ef45d9c901a8cf343ba6e0d5a0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$8
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$49
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
3W / 7L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
10W / 23L
Trades (30d)
33
across 24 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.90
avg win $0 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.02
$0 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $16,372
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.715 |
$3.28 |
$0.59 |
+22.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.964 |
$2.72 |
$0.97 |
+55.4% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.270 |
$1.34 |
$-0.84 |
-38.6% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.170 |
$0.32 |
$-0.29 |
-46.9% |