Trader
0xa89518aca5a633a79ad1e9737209c9689f83faac
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$144
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
96%
52W / 2L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
95%
52W / 3L
Trades (30d)
55
across 14 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$11.05
avg win $18 · loss $28
Profit Factor
3.56
$200 won / $56 lost
Reward / Risk
0.65
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $29,474 · all-time $1,001,807
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
58.4%
312W/222L
|
63 |
$42,540 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
100.0%
26W/0L
|
8 |
$2,264 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
12,478 |
0.994 |
$12,397.30 |
$6,158.10 |
+98.7% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
1,722 |
0.880 |
$1,514.99 |
$430.40 |
+39.7% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
12,478 |
0.006 |
$81.11 |
$-6,158.10 |
-98.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5? |
Yes |
1,525 |
0.001 |
$0.76 |
$-11.43 |
-93.8% |