Trader
0xa88be9b92fdf31c916206facd4a7f5d90db5976c
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$3
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-14.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
8%
1W / 11L
Win Return (30d)
8%
1W / 11L
Trades (30d)
12
across 3 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.92
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.07
$0 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,718 · all-time $1,240,283
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? |
No |
400 |
0.831 |
$332.40 |
$-39.60 |
-10.6% |
| Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
No |
300 |
0.995 |
$298.35 |
$-0.75 |
-0.3% |
| Will Solana reach $130 August 3-9? |
No |
271 |
1.000 |
$270.86 |
$0.14 |
+0.1% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
237 |
0.870 |
$206.32 |
$-9.33 |
-4.3% |
| Will Solana reach $120 August 3-9? |
No |
156 |
1.000 |
$155.92 |
$0.08 |
+0.1% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 August 3-9? |
No |
100 |
1.000 |
$99.95 |
$0.05 |
+0.0% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? |
Yes |
100 |
0.765 |
$76.50 |
$5.50 |
+7.7% |
| Will Solana reach $140 August 3-9? |
No |
36 |
1.000 |
$35.98 |
$0.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
900 |
0.001 |
$0.45 |
$-0.85 |
-65.4% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5? |
No |
10 |
0.009 |
$0.09 |
$0.06 |
+324.2% |