| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Yes |
33,366 |
0.065 |
$2,168.77 |
$-521.21 |
-19.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,023 |
0.905 |
$925.70 |
$68.74 |
+8.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.905 |
$633.51 |
$53.50 |
+9.2% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
Yes |
1,262 |
0.365 |
$460.51 |
$9.67 |
+2.1% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,690 |
0.146 |
$394.11 |
$134.46 |
+51.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
349 |
0.875 |
$305.23 |
$5.23 |
+1.7% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? |
Yes |
422 |
0.260 |
$109.71 |
$-58.38 |
-34.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
223 |
0.485 |
$108.04 |
$8.04 |
+8.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
196 |
0.515 |
$100.98 |
$0.98 |
+1.0% |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
80 |
0.915 |
$73.20 |
$3.60 |
+5.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
364 |
0.143 |
$52.18 |
$12.18 |
+30.5% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? |
Yes |
574 |
0.085 |
$48.81 |
$-83.44 |
-63.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
50 |
0.675 |
$33.75 |
$-1.25 |
-3.6% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? |
Yes |
333 |
0.075 |
$25.00 |
$-15.00 |
-37.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.165 |
$8.25 |
$0.75 |
+10.0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
200 |
0.025 |
$5.08 |
$-0.52 |
-9.3% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
50 |
0.052 |
$2.62 |
$0.47 |
+22.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.770 |
$1.79 |
$0.79 |
+79.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.385 |
$1.13 |
$0.13 |
+13.2% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.915 |
$0.95 |
$0.18 |
+23.1% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
16 |
0.050 |
$0.80 |
$-0.05 |
-5.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.145 |
$0.54 |
$-0.46 |
-46.3% |