PnL (30d)

+$274

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$350

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

94%

34W / 2L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

34W / 5L

Trades (30d)

39

across 4 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$91.24

avg win $137 · loss $0

Profit Factor

3,437.69

$274 won / $0 lost

Reward / Risk

1,718.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.9% 335W/166L	25	$351,825
🎬 Culture	60.0% 3W/2L	4	$7,422
🏛 Politics	60.0% 3W/2L	2	$74

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	17,158	0.395	$6,777.52	$-545.00	-7.4%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	6,862	0.910	$6,244.52	$14.18	+0.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	4,341	0.935	$4,058.87	$1,975.35	+94.8%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	28,776	0.065	$1,870.41	$-4,998.41	-72.8%
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	20,000	0.051	$1,030.00	$-1,024.10	-49.9%
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	4,977	0.200	$995.41	$179.58	+22.0%
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	3,351	0.290	$971.66	$481.13	+98.1%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	10,000	0.055	$550.00	$-2,050.00	-78.8%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	587	0.253	$148.59	$111.07	+296.0%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	3,351	0.011	$38.53	$-452.00	-92.1%
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	740	0.043	$31.76	$-28.00	-46.8%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	337	0.046	$15.65	$1.27	+8.8%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?	Yes	81	0.086	$6.99	$-27.61	-79.8%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	58	0.025	$1.45	$0.90	+162.4%
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	1	0.275	$0.40	$-0.35	-47.1%
100kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	1	0.026	$0.04	$-0.00	-11.7%
Will South Africa score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	6,998	0.000	$0.00	$-129.59	-100.0%
Will Uzbekistan score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	6,998	0.000	$0.00	$-129.59	-100.0%